Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.992101 1.119162 1.257919 1.420961 1.607628 1.815055 2.063546
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.775302 0.941692 1.138744 1.390410 1.704839 2.086727 2.588726
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.683358 0.871490 1.106608 1.424219 1.845393 2.389351 3.152549
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.598223 0.793106 1.047373 1.406775 1.907084 2.586801 3.593701
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.543573 0.745274 1.018471 1.420273 2.004133 2.833963 4.124823
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.489525 0.690907 0.972649 1.401621 2.048902 3.006340 4.562147
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.447445 0.648308 0.937714 1.392532 2.103025 3.193557 5.039371
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.398377 0.590393 0.874165 1.332552 2.070622 3.240875 5.294357
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.376346 0.570677 0.865392 1.355033 2.168374 3.502066 5.932010
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.357666 0.554170 0.859530 1.380564 2.272122 3.781944 6.634458
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.337719 0.533755 0.845319 1.390253 2.348878 4.022071 7.293428
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.319192 0.513977 0.830185 1.396345 2.418875 4.255918 7.968012
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.303614 0.498244 0.821091 1.413142 2.511742 4.545200 8.797389
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.281482 0.469762 0.788133 1.384606 2.518618 4.674893 9.326395
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.271661 0.461605 0.789469 1.418041 2.644872 5.046871 10.407724
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.254874 0.439865 0.764918 1.400705 2.670381 5.220858 11.086520
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.244077 0.427978 0.757066 1.414137 2.757735 5.529483 12.106809
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.229767 0.408626 0.733945 1.395574 2.777580 5.697887 12.827620
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.217887 0.392927 0.716448 1.386527 2.816047 5.909961 13.681880
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.200661 0.366018 0.675701 1.326832 2.740408 5.861280 13.889626
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.194559 0.359938 0.674766 1.349207 2.845656 6.232851 15.211211
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.189162 0.354831 0.675310 1.374616 2.960033 6.638498 16.684896
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.182378 0.346522 0.668818 1.384260 3.039278 6.969495 18.010900